As more local data was available, we were able to pivot to actual predictive modeling. This modeling looked at a shorter time frame (1-3 weeks) as depicted in Figure 2. By focusing on this time frame and using our local data including hospitalizations, infection rates, and population distributions, the model has been extremely accurate (~98%) and has continued to predict our micro-and macro-surges since early 2021. This tradeoff of long-term prediction for short-term accuracy has helped our Parkview decision makers make critical decisions about staffing, PPE, and other core resources throughout the multiple waves of the pandemic.